7/19/2002
Mean Streets 2000 - Methodology
Pedestrian Fatalities
The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration collects
data on every traffic fatality (pedestrian or otherwise) occurring on U.S.
roadways. To determine how many pedestrians were killed in a given year and
county, STPP queried the Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) for
pedestrians who suffered fatal injuries. We then aggregated the county-level
data to the state, Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) or New England County
Metropolitan Area (NECMA) for some 330 metro areas across the U.S. Dividing this
figure by the appropriate population estimate from the U.S. Census Bureau, and
multiplying by 100,000 gave us a yearly fatality rate per 100,000 persons. (See
the U.S. Census Bureau for definitions of MSA and NECMA, http://www.census.gov/population/www/estimates/aboutmetro.html
.)
FARS also collects data on the age of the pedestrian killed,
allowing STPP to calculate the number of children or elderly pedestrians killed
by automobiles. Dividing this number by the total number of pedestrian
fatalities gives the proportion of pedestrians killed in a given age group. At
the state level, STPP divided the number of child pedestrian fatalities by the
population under age 18 to arrive at a state-by-state fatality rate for
children.
STPP created the "Pedestrian Danger Index" to allow
for a truer comparison of metro areas that takes into account the exposure that
pedestrians face in a given metro area. For example, while slightly more
pedestrians are killed per capita in the New York metropolitan area than are
killed in the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area, more than three times as many people
walk in New York than in Dallas. So, the portion of New York residents exposed
to the risk of being killed as a pedestrian is three times higher than in
Dallas. We calculated the Pedestrian Danger Index by dividing the average yearly
fatality rate for a metro area by the percentage of commuters walking to work in
that metro area, and then normalizing that figure to 100. Our exposure measure,
the percentage of commuters walking to work is provided by the U.S. Census
Bureau’s 1990 Decennial Census.
Health
STPP performed a simple analysis of health and transportation
data at the metro level to determine if there was a relationship between walking
and health. While there is an large body of literature supporting the theory
that daily exercise helps maintain health, little research has been done on the
benefits of walking to work or to run daily errands.
Using data from the Centers for Disease Control’s 1998
Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS), we determined the percentage
of residents in metro areas who are at risk for health problems because of being
overweight. We compared this to the number of miles walked daily for residents
in forty large metro areas across the U.S. This was derived using the 1995
Nationwide Personal Transportation Survey (the most recent available) and
multiplying the average walk trip length by the average number of daily trips
per person. Running a bivariate correlation of the two variables shows a
relationship significant at the 0.001 level. The relationship between walking
and weight proved enduring, even when other possible influences on obesity were
considered. The percent of the population who were overweight continued to
decline significantly as daily miles walked per capita increased, controlling
for differences in age (percent of population over 45 years), race (percent of
population who were minorities), and income (percent of population under the
poverty level). Plotting the two variables on a scatter plot also shows evidence
of a relationship – there is a slight, but noticeable downward trend in the
metro areas, indicating that as the distance walked increases, the percentage of
overweight residents in a metro area decreases. Our comparison, while certainly
not a rigorous analysis, shows that there may indeed be a relationship, and that
this merits further study by professionals in the health field.
Safety Spending
STPP calculated spending figures from the Federal Highway
Administration’s Fiscal Management Information System – a huge database
containing details on every surface (and some waterborne) transportation project
receiving federal funds. For the purposes of this report, we queried the
database for projects with a work type related to specifically pedestrian
programs and facilities, or bicycle and pedestrian programs and facilities.
Projects that were specific to bicycles were omitted. Dividing this figure by
the appropriate population estimate from the U.S. Census Bureau gives us the
amount spent on pedestrian projects per capita. For a point of reference, we
also performed this analysis for highway projects. See STPP’s "Changing
Direction: Federal Transportation Spending in the 1990s" (http://www.transact.org
) for a more comprehensive analysis as well as more information about this data
source.
The percentage of federal funds spent on pedestrian projects was determined
by dividing the amount derived above by the total federal funds spent (including
funds devoted to transit). At the national level, STPP compared this number to
the percent of trips taken by foot, from the 1995 Nationwide Personal
Transportation Survey.
The Surface Transportation Policy Project is a nationwide network of more than 800
organizations, including planners, community development organizations, and advocacy groups,
devoted to improving the nation’s transportation system.
|